Insights / us
FITB
Fifth Third BancorpUS06/01/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.79%
P05–P95 span
17.80%
Neighbors
34
Sharpness
0.64
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
7 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+7
+10.55%
Outer 90%
7/7(100%)
Middle 50%
0/7(0%)
Above median
7/7(100%)
Below median
0/7(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -7.18%P25: -1.95%P50: 0.79%P75: 4.16%P95: 10.63%
Computed at: 06/02/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 33.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.