Insights / us
FITB
Fifth Third BancorpUS05/31/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.15%
P05–P95 span
15.44%
Neighbors
16
Sharpness
0.69
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
8 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+8
+8.12%
Outer 90%
8/8(100%)
Middle 50%
2/8(25%)
Above median
8/8(100%)
Below median
0/8(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -6.08%P25: -2.61%P50: -0.15%P75: 4.31%P95: 9.36%
Computed at: 06/01/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 15.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.