Insights / us
EXPE
Expedia Group, Inc.US05/19/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.19%
P05–P95 span
16.73%
Neighbors
19
Sharpness
0.67
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+5.96%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
1/10(10%)
Above median
10/10(100%)
Below median
0/10(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -10.88%P25: -3.83%P50: -1.19%P75: 1.64%P95: 5.85%
Computed at: 05/20/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 18.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.