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EXE
Expand Energy CorporationUS04/26/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.09%
P05–P95 span
9.75%
Neighbors
31
Sharpness
0.80
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-0.21%
Outer 90%
7/10(70%)
Middle 50%
5/10(50%)
Above median
6/10(60%)
Below median
4/10(40%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.56%P25: -1.49%P50: 0.09%P75: 1.56%P95: 4.19%
Computed at: 04/27/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 30.3 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.