Insights / us
EXE
Expand Energy CorporationUS04/23/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.20%
P05–P95 span
10.69%
Neighbors
35
Sharpness
0.79
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+0.03%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
6/10(60%)
Above median
9/10(90%)
Below median
1/10(10%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -4.58%P25: -0.86%P50: 1.20%P75: 3.02%P95: 6.11%
Computed at: 04/24/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 34.1 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.