Insights / us
DUK
Duke Energy CorporationUS04/06/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.52%
P05–P95 span
13.69%
Neighbors
37
Sharpness
0.73
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-4.43%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
6/10(60%)
Above median
4/10(40%)
Below median
6/10(60%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -8.58%P25: -2.47%P50: -0.52%P75: 1.46%P95: 5.11%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:47 AM · ESS 36.0 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.