Insights / us
DUK
Duke Energy CorporationUS04/05/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.10%
P05–P95 span
15.19%
Neighbors
18
Sharpness
0.70
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-2.86%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
9/10(90%)
Above median
6/10(60%)
Below median
4/10(40%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -10.31%P25: -4.44%P50: -1.10%P75: 0.67%P95: 4.88%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 03:49 AM · ESS 17.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.