Insights / us
DLTR
Dollar Tree, Inc.US06/04/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.71%
P05–P95 span
9.69%
Neighbors
22
Sharpness
0.81
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
4 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+4
+4.61%
Outer 90%
3/4(75%)
Middle 50%
1/4(25%)
Above median
2/4(50%)
Below median
2/4(50%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -4.06%P25: -1.02%P50: 0.71%P75: 2.58%P95: 5.63%
Computed at: 06/05/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 21.1 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.