Insights / us
DLTR
Dollar Tree, Inc.US06/03/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.22%
P05–P95 span
13.78%
Neighbors
19
Sharpness
0.72
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
5 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+5
+0.03%
Outer 90%
3/5(60%)
Middle 50%
1/5(20%)
Above median
0/5(0%)
Below median
5/5(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -6.07%P25: -0.73%P50: 1.22%P75: 4.26%P95: 7.70%
Computed at: 06/04/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 18.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.