Insights / us
DIS
The Walt Disney CompanyUS05/31/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.65%
P05–P95 span
11.95%
Neighbors
18
Sharpness
0.76
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
8 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+8
-1.30%
Outer 90%
6/8(75%)
Middle 50%
1/8(13%)
Above median
0/8(0%)
Below median
8/8(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -4.50%P25: -0.08%P50: 1.65%P75: 3.82%P95: 7.45%
Computed at: 06/01/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 17.4 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.