Insights / us
DIS
The Walt Disney CompanyUS05/28/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.03%
P05–P95 span
12.90%
Neighbors
25
Sharpness
0.74
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
9 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+9
-3.17%
Outer 90%
7/9(78%)
Middle 50%
3/9(33%)
Above median
1/9(11%)
Below median
8/9(89%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -7.79%P25: -3.07%P50: -1.03%P75: 0.67%P95: 5.11%
Computed at: 05/29/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 24.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.