Insights / us
DAL
Delta Air Lines, Inc.US05/17/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.87%
P05–P95 span
10.89%
Neighbors
37
Sharpness
0.78
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+12.61%
Outer 90%
2/10(20%)
Middle 50%
0/10(0%)
Above median
9/10(90%)
Below median
1/10(10%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -4.02%P25: 0.34%P50: 1.87%P75: 3.36%P95: 6.87%
Computed at: 05/18/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 35.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.