DAL

Delta Air Lines, Inc.US05/14/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move

+0.97%

P05–P95 span

8.25%

Neighbors

Sharpness

0.83

Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)

10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices

Realized @ D+10

+15.51%

Outer 90%

3/10(30%)

Middle 50%

1/10(10%)

Above median

8/10(80%)

Below median

2/10(20%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -2.15%P25: -0.17%P50: 0.97%P75: 2.81%P95: 6.11%

Computed at: 05/15/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 30.5 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.