Insights / us
CTRA
Coterra Energy Inc.US04/28/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.26%
P05–P95 span
9.93%
Neighbors
36
Sharpness
0.80
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
5 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+5
-6.97%
Outer 90%
3/5(60%)
Middle 50%
0/5(0%)
Above median
4/5(80%)
Below median
1/5(20%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -4.52%P25: -1.40%P50: 0.26%P75: 1.98%P95: 5.41%
Computed at: 04/29/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 35.2 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.