Insights / us
CTRA
Coterra Energy Inc.US04/27/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.51%
P05–P95 span
9.17%
Neighbors
33
Sharpness
0.82
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
6 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+6
-5.02%
Outer 90%
3/6(50%)
Middle 50%
0/6(0%)
Above median
5/6(83%)
Below median
1/6(17%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -3.52%P25: -0.58%P50: 0.51%P75: 2.07%P95: 5.64%
Computed at: 04/28/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 32.3 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.