Insights / us
CMG
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.US06/03/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.36%
P05–P95 span
15.80%
Neighbors
18
Sharpness
0.68
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
6 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+6
+10.76%
Outer 90%
5/6(83%)
Middle 50%
3/6(50%)
Above median
5/6(83%)
Below median
1/6(17%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -6.61%P25: -2.38%P50: 0.36%P75: 3.31%P95: 9.19%
Computed at: 06/04/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 17.3 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.