Insights / us
CMG
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.US06/02/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.65%
P05–P95 span
11.56%
Neighbors
23
Sharpness
0.77
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
7 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+7
+13.05%
Outer 90%
5/7(71%)
Middle 50%
0/7(0%)
Above median
6/7(86%)
Below median
1/7(14%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -4.37%P25: -1.28%P50: 0.65%P75: 2.11%P95: 7.18%
Computed at: 06/03/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 22.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.