AVB

AvalonBay Communities, Inc.US05/19/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move

-0.65%

P05–P95 span

11.96%

Neighbors

Sharpness

0.76

Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)

10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices

Realized @ D+10

+1.62%

Outer 90%

10/10(100%)

Middle 50%

9/10(90%)

Above median

5/10(50%)

Below median

5/10(50%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -6.62%P25: -2.91%P50: -0.65%P75: 1.07%P95: 5.34%

Computed at: 05/20/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 34.2 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.