Insights / us
APTV
Aptiv PLCUS04/09/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-3.26%
P05–P95 span
9.42%
Neighbors
40
Sharpness
0.81
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-0.78%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
1/10(10%)
Above median
6/10(60%)
Below median
4/10(40%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -8.48%P25: -5.34%P50: -3.26%P75: -1.01%P95: 0.94%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:46 AM · ESS 39.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.