Insights / us
APTV
Aptiv PLCUS04/08/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.11%
P05–P95 span
10.97%
Neighbors
40
Sharpness
0.78
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+0.10%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
6/10(60%)
Above median
4/10(40%)
Below median
6/10(60%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -7.11%P25: -3.21%P50: -1.11%P75: 0.74%P95: 3.86%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:47 AM · ESS 39.4 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.