APD

Air Products and Chemicals, Inc.US05/31/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move

+2.51%

P05–P95 span

18.70%

Neighbors

Sharpness

0.63

Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)

8 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices

Realized @ D+8

-0.18%

Outer 90%

8/8(100%)

Middle 50%

5/8(63%)

Above median

1/8(13%)

Below median

7/8(88%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -4.40%P25: 0.38%P50: 2.51%P75: 6.85%P95: 14.30%

Computed at: 06/01/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 17.9 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.