Insights / us
APD
Air Products and Chemicals, Inc.US05/28/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.00%
P05–P95 span
16.76%
Neighbors
23
Sharpness
0.66
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
9 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+9
-1.42%
Outer 90%
9/9(100%)
Middle 50%
9/9(100%)
Above median
3/9(33%)
Below median
6/9(67%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -11.04%P25: -2.78%P50: 0.00%P75: 2.38%P95: 5.72%
Computed at: 05/29/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 22.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.