Insights / us
AAPL
Apple Inc.US05/31/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.06%
P05–P95 span
15.12%
Neighbors
34
Sharpness
0.70
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
8 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+8
-4.52%
Outer 90%
8/8(100%)
Middle 50%
4/8(50%)
Above median
4/8(50%)
Below median
4/8(50%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -7.20%P25: -2.54%P50: -0.06%P75: 3.66%P95: 7.92%
Computed at: 06/01/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 33.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.