Insights / us
AAPL
Apple Inc.US05/28/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.40%
P05–P95 span
8.99%
Neighbors
34
Sharpness
0.82
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
9 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+9
-5.18%
Outer 90%
6/9(67%)
Middle 50%
3/9(33%)
Above median
3/9(33%)
Below median
6/9(67%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.43%P25: -1.85%P50: -0.40%P75: 1.03%P95: 3.56%
Computed at: 05/29/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 33.5 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.