443060

HD현대마린솔루션KR06/04/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+0.00%
P05–P95 span
18.55%
Neighbors
9
Sharpness
0.63
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
4 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+4
+10.34%
Outer 90%
2/4(50%)
Middle 50%
1/4(25%)
Above median
2/4(50%)
Below median
2/4(50%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -9.54%P25: -4.50%P50: 0.00%P75: 4.81%P95: 9.02%

Computed at: 06/04/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 9.0 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.