Insights / kr
443060
HD현대마린솔루션KR06/03/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.90%
P05–P95 span
12.98%
Neighbors
12
Sharpness
0.74
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
5 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+5
+7.21%
Outer 90%
3/5(60%)
Middle 50%
1/5(20%)
Above median
1/5(20%)
Below median
4/5(80%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.81%P25: -2.42%P50: 0.90%P75: 4.03%P95: 7.16%
Computed at: 06/03/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 11.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.