443060

HD현대마린솔루션KR06/01/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+0.20%
P05–P95 span
8.23%
Neighbors
9
Sharpness
0.84
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
6 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+6
+8.15%
Outer 90%
3/6(50%)
Middle 50%
1/6(17%)
Above median
2/6(33%)
Below median
4/6(67%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -3.65%P25: -1.68%P50: 0.20%P75: 2.27%P95: 4.59%

Computed at: 06/01/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 9.0 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.