Insights / kr
443060
HD현대마린솔루션KR05/31/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.60%
P05–P95 span
24.89%
Neighbors
9
Sharpness
0.50
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
7 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+7
+9.60%
Outer 90%
5/7(71%)
Middle 50%
4/7(57%)
Above median
2/7(29%)
Below median
5/7(71%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -8.00%P25: -4.15%P50: 0.60%P75: 10.23%P95: 16.88%
Computed at: 05/31/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 9.0 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.