443060

HD현대마린솔루션KR05/19/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-0.16%
P05–P95 span
20.52%
Neighbors
12
Sharpness
0.59
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+0.45%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
6/10(60%)
Above median
10/10(100%)
Below median
0/10(0%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -7.01%P25: -2.92%P50: -0.16%P75: 3.46%P95: 13.51%

Computed at: 05/19/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 11.8 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.