443060

HD현대마린솔루션KR05/18/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+0.00%
P05–P95 span
26.95%
Neighbors
7
Sharpness
0.46
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-0.45%
Outer 90%
6/10(60%)
Middle 50%
6/10(60%)
Above median
6/10(60%)
Below median
4/10(40%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -8.03%P25: -2.75%P50: 0.00%P75: 6.70%P95: 18.93%

Computed at: 05/18/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 6.9 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.