Insights / kr
377300
카카오페이KR05/27/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.34%
P05–P95 span
23.87%
Neighbors
20
Sharpness
0.52
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
9 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+9
-1.86%
Outer 90%
7/9(78%)
Middle 50%
7/9(78%)
Above median
3/9(33%)
Below median
6/9(67%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.05%P25: -1.43%P50: 1.34%P75: 5.70%P95: 18.82%
Computed at: 05/27/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 18.2 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.