Insights / kr
377300
카카오페이KR05/26/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.05%
P05–P95 span
21.24%
Neighbors
14
Sharpness
0.58
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-6.28%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
5/10(50%)
Above median
1/10(10%)
Below median
9/10(90%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -15.53%P25: -3.79%P50: -1.05%P75: 1.53%P95: 5.70%
Computed at: 05/26/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 13.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.