302440

SK바이오사이언스KR04/07/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-1.18%
P05–P95 span
17.65%
Neighbors
5
Sharpness
0.65
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+4.90%
Outer 90%
6/10(60%)
Middle 50%
2/10(20%)
Above median
9/10(90%)
Below median
1/10(10%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -12.64%P25: -4.66%P50: -1.18%P75: 1.02%P95: 5.02%

Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:48 AM · ESS 5.0 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.