302440

SK바이오사이언스KR04/05/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+0.22%
P05–P95 span
22.83%
Neighbors
5
Sharpness
0.54
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+8.09%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
6/10(60%)
Above median
7/10(70%)
Below median
3/10(30%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -10.97%P25: -4.53%P50: 0.22%P75: 4.73%P95: 11.86%

Computed at: 04/15/26, 03:49 AM · ESS 4.8 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.