300720

한일시멘트KR06/04/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-1.13%
P05–P95 span
15.58%
Neighbors
8
Sharpness
0.69
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
4 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+4
-5.75%
Outer 90%
2/4(50%)
Middle 50%
1/4(25%)
Above median
0/4(0%)
Below median
4/4(100%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -8.58%P25: -4.32%P50: -1.13%P75: 3.24%P95: 7.00%

Computed at: 06/04/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 7.3 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.