Insights / kr
300720
한일시멘트KR06/01/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.55%
P05–P95 span
9.79%
Neighbors
15
Sharpness
0.80
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
6 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+6
-1.14%
Outer 90%
6/6(100%)
Middle 50%
1/6(17%)
Above median
2/6(33%)
Below median
4/6(67%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -3.60%P25: -0.14%P50: 1.55%P75: 4.06%P95: 6.19%
Computed at: 06/01/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 14.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.