Insights / kr
298050
HS효성첨단소재KR04/28/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.33%
P05–P95 span
29.51%
Neighbors
15
Sharpness
0.41
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-12.14%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
5/10(50%)
Above median
2/10(20%)
Below median
8/10(80%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -15.22%P25: -4.27%P50: 1.33%P75: 5.33%P95: 14.29%
Computed at: 04/28/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 15.0 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.