Insights / kr
298050
HS효성첨단소재KR04/27/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.11%
P05–P95 span
18.74%
Neighbors
13
Sharpness
0.63
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-2.05%
Outer 90%
7/10(70%)
Middle 50%
3/10(30%)
Above median
7/10(70%)
Below median
3/10(30%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -6.01%P25: -2.90%P50: -0.11%P75: 2.28%P95: 12.72%
Computed at: 04/27/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 12.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.