Insights / kr
278470
에이피알KR05/27/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.66%
P05–P95 span
19.68%
Neighbors
19
Sharpness
0.61
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+1.03%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
2/10(20%)
Above median
9/10(90%)
Below median
1/10(10%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -13.14%P25: -3.59%P50: -0.66%P75: 2.29%P95: 6.54%
Computed at: 05/27/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 18.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.