Insights / kr
278470
에이피알KR05/26/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.53%
P05–P95 span
28.08%
Neighbors
12
Sharpness
0.44
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+5.80%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
3/10(30%)
Above median
9/10(90%)
Below median
1/10(10%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -7.82%P25: -3.26%P50: -1.53%P75: 1.56%P95: 20.27%
Computed at: 05/26/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 11.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.