Insights / kr
278470
에이피알KR05/13/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.88%
P05–P95 span
14.66%
Neighbors
18
Sharpness
0.71
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-3.30%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
1/10(10%)
Above median
0/10(0%)
Below median
10/10(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.82%P25: -1.25%P50: 0.88%P75: 3.42%P95: 8.85%
Computed at: 05/13/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 17.4 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.