Insights / kr
278470
에이피알KR05/12/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.31%
P05–P95 span
15.32%
Neighbors
6
Sharpness
0.69
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-5.54%
Outer 90%
2/10(20%)
Middle 50%
0/10(0%)
Above median
1/10(10%)
Below median
9/10(90%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -3.23%P25: -0.81%P50: 0.31%P75: 4.42%P95: 12.08%
Computed at: 05/12/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 5.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.