Insights / kr
272210
한화시스템KR05/21/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-2.70%
P05–P95 span
13.10%
Neighbors
18
Sharpness
0.74
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-18.91%
Outer 90%
6/10(60%)
Middle 50%
2/10(20%)
Above median
4/10(40%)
Below median
6/10(60%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -9.85%P25: -7.12%P50: -2.70%P75: 0.56%P95: 3.25%
Computed at: 05/21/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 17.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.