Insights / kr
272210
한화시스템KR05/20/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.68%
P05–P95 span
44.17%
Neighbors
10
Sharpness
0.12
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-15.28%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
5/10(50%)
Above median
6/10(60%)
Below median
4/10(40%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -10.38%P25: -5.11%P50: -1.68%P75: 3.15%P95: 33.79%
Computed at: 05/20/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 9.1 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.