Insights / kr
271560
오리온KR05/31/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.69%
P05–P95 span
10.19%
Neighbors
9
Sharpness
0.80
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
7 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+7
+7.22%
Outer 90%
6/7(86%)
Middle 50%
4/7(57%)
Above median
5/7(71%)
Below median
2/7(29%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -3.11%P25: -0.54%P50: 1.69%P75: 3.99%P95: 7.08%
Computed at: 05/31/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 8.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.