Insights / kr

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오리온KR05/28/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

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Median move
+1.04%
P05–P95 span
8.82%
Neighbors
5
Sharpness
0.82
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
8 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+8
+3.37%
Outer 90%
4/8(50%)
Middle 50%
3/8(38%)
Above median
0/8(0%)
Below median
8/8(100%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -2.61%P25: -0.32%P50: 1.04%P75: 3.92%P95: 6.21%

Computed at: 05/28/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 4.7 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.