Insights / kr
267250
HD현대KR05/31/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.21%
P05–P95 span
17.05%
Neighbors
12
Sharpness
0.66
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
7 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+7
-9.74%
Outer 90%
6/7(86%)
Middle 50%
2/7(29%)
Above median
3/7(43%)
Below median
4/7(57%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -11.73%P25: -2.60%P50: -0.21%P75: 2.38%P95: 5.31%
Computed at: 05/31/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 11.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.