Insights / kr
267250
HD현대KR05/28/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.06%
P05–P95 span
15.12%
Neighbors
14
Sharpness
0.70
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
8 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+8
-12.63%
Outer 90%
4/8(50%)
Middle 50%
4/8(50%)
Above median
1/8(13%)
Below median
7/8(88%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -7.47%P25: -3.51%P50: -1.06%P75: 1.79%P95: 7.64%
Computed at: 05/28/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 13.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.