Insights / kr
267250
HD현대KR05/12/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-2.30%
P05–P95 span
56.30%
Neighbors
6
Sharpness
0.00
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-6.61%
Outer 90%
6/10(60%)
Middle 50%
5/10(50%)
Above median
3/10(30%)
Below median
7/10(70%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -25.67%P25: -7.21%P50: -2.30%P75: 1.29%P95: 30.63%
Computed at: 05/12/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 5.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.