Insights / kr
267250
HD현대KR05/11/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.37%
P05–P95 span
8.24%
Neighbors
5
Sharpness
0.84
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-4.03%
Outer 90%
3/10(30%)
Middle 50%
0/10(0%)
Above median
1/10(10%)
Below median
9/10(90%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -4.58%P25: -1.96%P50: -0.37%P75: 1.71%P95: 3.67%
Computed at: 05/11/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 4.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.